PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TPredictions

0xeaa68b060c1cf0630aa43748beb4cf6a01700a65

Realised P&L
$219.29
Volume
$181.8k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$425.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4880.487$195.00$0.20
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.1040.305$54.07+$35.69
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.7500.455$45.50$29.50
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes0.1450.154$33.99+$1.99
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.2210.937$27.73+$21.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.6200.205$20.50$41.50
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · Yes0.0440.158$15.75+$11.38
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0900.095$9.60+$0.51
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$9.02+$0.00
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · No0.5100.725$7.25+$2.15
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? · Yes0.1000.135$3.15+$0.82
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 15-21? · No0.5000.290$2.90$2.10
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? · Yes0.1000.135$1.35+$0.35
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$54.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:31Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.09$9.09
09-17 02:07Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.488$195.20
09-15 17:46Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.51$5.10
09-06 04:23Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.85$4.25
07-05 05:32Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?BUY0.14$8.82
07-04 05:45Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.75$7.54
07-04 05:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.62$62.00
06-30 14:45Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.46$23.00
06-26 19:19Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.043$1.29
06-11 11:33Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.33$16.50
06-01 20:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.002$0.80
05-21 05:52Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.016$1.60
05-21 05:52Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$0.50
05-21 05:52Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$3.02
05-20 04:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?SELL0.1$8.35