PolyBot

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Traders

TPredictions

0xeaa68b060c1cf0630aa43748beb4cf6a01700a65

Realised P&L
$245.42
Volume
$176.4k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$179.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.7500.785$78.50+$3.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.6200.635$63.50+$1.50
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.2210.642$19.00+$12.47
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · Yes0.0440.117$11.75+$7.38
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes0.6000.242$4.84$7.16
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? · Yes0.1000.135$1.35+$0.35
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.3000.160$0.52$0.46
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$54.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 05:32Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?BUY0.14$8.82
07-04 05:45Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.75$7.54
07-04 05:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.62$62.00
06-30 14:45Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.46$23.00
06-26 19:19Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.043$1.29
06-11 11:33Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.33$16.50
06-01 20:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.002$0.80
05-21 05:52Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.016$1.60
05-21 05:52Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$0.50
05-21 05:52Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$3.02
05-20 04:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?SELL0.1$8.35
05-19 18:00Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.14$13.98
05-19 17:52Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.13$3.46
05-19 17:52Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.002$1.10
05-18 19:18Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.23$2.10