PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEa9cfc87d239986Be855B494418F46C25d486525-1778517971037

0xea9cfc87d239986be855b494418f46c25d486525

Realised P&L
$87.73
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$43.22

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2780.162$8.13$5.87
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3480.195$5.60$4.40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4950.510$5.15+$0.15
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$5.13+$0.13
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.215$4.89$0.11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3610.364$4.04+$0.04
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1430.112$3.90$1.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.165$3.30$1.70
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.4700.165$1.75$3.25
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.085$1.33$3.67
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.4300.001$0.01$4.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$2.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.6499999987$25.00
09-16 21:08Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3609999808$4.00
09-16 21:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-15 15:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.6099999934$25.00
08-25 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4799999931$25.00
08-25 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.5299999936$25.00
08-25 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.5699999555$5.00
08-25 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.7299999994$25.00
08-25 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6199999628$5.00
08-11 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.4499999946$25.00
08-11 17:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.29999997$5.00
08-11 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.75$25.00
08-04 14:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.25$6.00
08-01 18:53Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2779999869$14.00
08-01 18:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.9$25.00