LindaStewart8731
0xea905c5297b54ae887317ab252f5671a04b20f8f
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $206.9k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $290.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No | 0.350 | 0.825 | $142.72 | +$82.17 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.175 | $133.03 | −$429.41 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.555 | $8.32 | +$2.63 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.061 | $6.59 | −$81.97 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.160Will "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$788.90at 0.510Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
- +$357.35at 0.590Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
- +$246.18at 0.260Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
- +$227.92at 0.120Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:22 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.22 | $65.34 |
| 04-21 10:24 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.40 |
| 04-21 04:43 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.32 | $65.92 |
| 04-21 03:54 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 04-21 03:51 | Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $292.41 |
| 04-21 03:50 | Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $257.07 |
| 04-21 02:59 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.62 |
| 04-21 02:58 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.21 | $179.34 |
| 04-21 02:57 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.21 | $65.73 |
| 04-13 16:10 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $456.00 |
| 04-13 13:11 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $464.00 |
| 04-13 12:01 | Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $578.40 |
| 04-12 09:30 | Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.65 | $195.65 |
| 04-12 09:29 | Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.65 | $12.35 |
| 04-12 00:43 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $490.60 |