PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LindaStewart8731

0xea905c5297b54ae887317ab252f5671a04b20f8f

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$206.9k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$290.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.3500.825$142.72+$82.17
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.175$133.03$429.41
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3800.555$8.32+$2.63
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.061$6.59$81.97
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$79.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:22Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.22$65.34
04-21 10:24Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.2$3.40
04-21 04:43Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.32$65.92
04-21 03:54Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.12$1.20
04-21 03:51Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.57$292.41
04-21 03:50Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.57$257.07
04-21 02:59Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.21$4.62
04-21 02:58Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.21$179.34
04-21 02:57Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.21$65.73
04-13 16:10Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?SELL0.57$456.00
04-13 13:11Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.58$464.00
04-13 12:01Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6$578.40
04-12 09:30Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.65$195.65
04-12 09:29Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.65$12.35
04-12 00:43Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?SELL0.55$490.60