PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

FATMAN

0xea837d5472f73559fcb68423e5444df247a05c8f

Realised P&L
$11.7k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8200.959$6.4k+$927.28
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7300.865$3.5k+$540.00
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.7300.976$3.3k+$822.84
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.7200.970$1.4k+$369.69
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8570.979$518.35+$64.42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8600.954$34.63+$3.41
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.275$1.38−$1.13
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.6640.000$0.00−$3.8k
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 21:07Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5$2.50
07-24 04:17Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.73$2.9k
07-24 04:09Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.84$59.35
07-23 19:35Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.69$345.00
07-23 19:34Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.6625413664$1.1k
07-23 19:34Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.5816597062$666.30
07-23 19:32Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6780882963$2.0k
07-23 19:32Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.634637146$1.3k
07-23 19:12Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.86$31.22
07-23 19:11Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.86$394.59
07-07 01:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.39$780.00
07-07 00:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.41$1.2k
06-10 03:35Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.982$4.9k
06-09 12:01Israel closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.79$532.52
06-08 01:50US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL0.89$377.83