PolyBot

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Traders

0xEA7008450464D71e9Cfb57Bb91908d88Bdc250d7-1722884028969

0xea7008450464d71e9cfb57bb91908d88bdc250d7

Realised P&L
$150.34
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$60.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.4300.415$41.50$1.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8240.779$18.92$1.08
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$33.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$10.50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.2200.000$0.00$22.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 18:17Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2503307621$5.00
09-06 18:17Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
04-06 20:42Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.103$5.15
04-06 20:40Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8239999934$20.00
03-09 14:24US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL0.22$11.58
03-07 18:17US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.189999988$10.00
03-07 18:17US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.9199999687$20.00
03-07 09:06Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.6022748$30.11
03-05 20:31US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL0.002$0.80
03-05 20:29Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.4$10.00
03-05 15:45Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.27$6.75
03-04 20:37Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.42$21.00
03-04 20:35Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.22$22.00
03-04 15:22Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.839999999$100.00
03-04 10:38US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.025$10.00