PolyBot

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Traders

0xea58941e3d3b172055c6fa99e898b5e69a9b9c76

0xea58941e3d3b172055c6fa99e898b5e69a9b9c76

Realised P&L
$1.98
Volume
$50.31
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$4.16

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? · Yes0.4200.580$1.38+$0.38
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.4990.496$0.99−$0.01
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes0.7300.710$0.97−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No0.7200.585$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 03:50Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.498999755$1.00
10-15 19:17Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-15 11:11Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-15 03:09Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-13 07:01Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-12 23:00Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-12 15:00Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-10 18:53Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-09 21:45Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-09 00:24Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7849998783$1.00
10-08 15:53Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
10-08 07:13Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-07 23:13Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-07 14:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-07 05:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.4299998882$1.00