0xea58941e3d3b172055c6fa99e898b5e69a9b9c76
0xea58941e3d3b172055c6fa99e898b5e69a9b9c76
- Realised P&L
- $1.98
- Volume
- $50.31
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $4.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.580 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.496 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.710 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.585 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- +$1.30at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?
- +$0.83at 0.550SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:50 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:11 | Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:09 | Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 07:01 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 23:00 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:53 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:45 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7849998783 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:53 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:13 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |