0xea3e0014e96f753bcb8c071cf3408558ec5b5e91
- Realised P&L
- $1.72
- Volume
- $248.28
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $8.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.755 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.280 | 0.250 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.306 | $1.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.115 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.410 | 0.125 | $0.42 | −$0.95 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.095 | $0.29 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:44 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:39 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 15:37 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3869999743 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 16:21 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 16:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:51 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 23:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |