PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smarttradder

0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b

Realised P&L
$-15.3k
Volume
$3.40M
Markets traded
3,811
Open portfolio
$271.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,811
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.8300.555$111.02−$55.01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.8000.805$80.50+$0.50
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.4640.435$45.47−$3.07
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6800.170$26.35−$79.04
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1300.115$8.05−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:55Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.0671727173$6.72
10-26 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ETSELL0.005$0.77
10-26 08:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ETBUY0.007$0.20
10-26 07:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ETSELL0.21$4.88
10-26 06:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ETSELL0.005$0.50
10-26 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ETSELL0.011$0.43
10-23 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ETSELL0.06$1.08
10-22 04:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ETSELL0.34125$13.65
10-22 04:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ETBUY0.41$12.30
10-21 14:25Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.34$3.40
10-20 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ETBUY0.27$8.10
10-20 05:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
10-19 14:43Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.34$34.00
10-18 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7AM ETSELL0.04$2.39
10-18 11:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7AM ETSELL0.08$1.20