smarttradder
0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b
- Realised P&L
- $-13.8k
- Volume
- $3.24M
- Markets traded
- 3,415
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,415
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.210Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
- +$1.2kat 0.060Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$950.87at 0.666Knicks vs. Kings
- +$947.69at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$790.93at 0.340Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:34 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.17 |
| 09-15 23:40 | Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | SELL | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 09-15 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $7.82 |
| 09-15 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 09-14 23:38 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-14 23:37 | Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.10 |
| 09-14 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $23.74 |
| 09-14 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $10.45 |
| 09-14 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 09-14 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $3.40 |
| 09-14 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-14 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5685 | $68.22 |
| 09-14 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |