PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xea2444ee7adc789f8fc6ec88d8515a684ef32cc8

0xea2444ee7adc789f8fc6ec88d8515a684ef32cc8

Realised P&L
$-230.04
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$91.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026? · No0.7900.700$28.00−$3.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.3600.225$14.18−$8.51
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? · No0.6500.545$10.90−$2.10
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.8500.435$8.27−$7.88
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.7600.650$8.26−$1.40
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? · Yes0.8000.615$7.92−$2.38
Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? · No0.8100.760$3.04−$0.20
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September? · Yes0.1920.131$2.62−$1.22
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? · No0.8500.700$2.00−$0.43
Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? · Yes0.1900.065$1.30−$2.50
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · No0.7000.750$1.18+$0.08
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? · No0.9000.920$0.92+$0.02
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? · Yes0.3000.245$0.90−$0.20
Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.3300.040$0.80−$5.80
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.2160.033$0.65−$3.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 04:52Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?BUY0.37$7.40
10-11 04:42Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?BUY0.27$5.40
10-11 04:33Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.23$4.60
10-11 04:04Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?BUY0.95$8.03
10-11 04:04Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?BUY0.9399999995$39.06
10-11 03:08Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.72$14.40
10-11 02:41Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?BUY0.92$60.15
10-11 00:26Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?BUY0.3579999862$7.10
10-10 23:25Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2$0.20
10-10 19:54Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?BUY0.74$7.40
10-10 19:54Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?BUY0.74$7.40
10-10 18:51Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?BUY0.7199999935$35.50
10-10 16:13Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?BUY0.8959999968$18.10
10-10 16:06Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.1179999959$1.28
10-10 14:11Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?BUY0.956$19.18