PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE9d41491b2c3429A1f6144Cb7FdE769332979F6D-1767907986913

0xe9d41491b2c3429a1f6144cb7fde769332979f6d

Realised P&L
$-17.12
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$0.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.0640.009$0.40−$2.60
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes0.0670.003$0.07−$1.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$3.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Up0.0440.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Weibo Gaming0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$0.28
Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkova · Celine Naef0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.15
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 19:20Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8099999662$1.92
06-22 19:07Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.999$1.87
06-21 08:40Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2799998473$1.10
06-21 08:39Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.64$1.20
06-20 20:32Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-18 21:08Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.64$1.01
06-18 21:07Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.5599999783$1.03
06-17 21:25Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7099999034$1.47
06-17 21:24Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-17 21:16Will England win on 2026-06-17?SELL0.81$2.03
06-17 17:06Will England win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.58$1.45
06-15 20:23Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999642$1.31
06-14 21:57Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?SELL0.99$1.33
06-14 21:48Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.8299993719$1.11
06-14 21:38Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?SELL0.163$1.14