OxF6C33EaE7cbC1dB8f9c6F10f0a3C54E5dC7aF1b8
0xe9cd13bcf3366aed1788c0cfc694cbf5afce701f
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $216.9k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.875 | $3.2k | +$687.66 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.680 | $680.00 | +$70.00 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No | 0.796 | 0.892 | $643.07 | +$69.31 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes | 0.507 | 0.425 | $637.50 | −$122.50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.355 | $636.87 | −$134.55 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.875 | 0.706 | $511.85 | −$122.44 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.755 | 0.820 | $409.75 | +$32.25 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.142 | $14.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.620Magic vs. Celtics
- +$1.1kat 0.459US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$964.00at 0.564Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
- +$962.90at 0.733Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$870.74at 0.797Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 13:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.583 | $28.88 |
| 07-26 13:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.583 | $32.53 |
| 07-14 13:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 07-04 07:28 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8748896552 | $634.30 |
| 07-04 04:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $629.37 |
| 07-02 15:22 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.8k |
| 07-02 15:19 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.8k |
| 07-01 05:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.56 | $560.00 |
| 06-30 03:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.89 | $994.35 |
| 06-30 03:48 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 06-30 03:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.89 | $40.04 |
| 06-30 03:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8899791667 | $1.1k |
| 06-28 04:24 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 06-28 03:46 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 06-28 03:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.8k |