0xE9c74Fbf4d076Ef83c051a55a000a0876d76d9E8-1760068834098
0xe9c74fbf4d076ef83c051a55a000a0876d76d9e8
- Realised P&L
- $845.65
- Volume
- $146.6k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.198Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.080Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$1.1kat 0.614Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$990.00at 0.100Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$974.44at 0.170Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:01 | Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 19:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 19:58 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1224923443 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5959999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-15 19:18 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $560.00 |
| 07-12 01:56 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 15:24 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 15:22 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $101.73 |
| 07-11 15:22 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3511919363 | $157.48 |
| 07-11 15:22 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2159272906 | $242.03 |
| 06-24 20:03 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0041365445 | $1.17 |
| 06-24 20:03 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.921 | $10.96 |
| 06-24 20:02 | Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8364572898 | $61.79 |
| 06-24 19:15 | Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.64 |
| 06-24 19:14 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.074 | $13.16 |