0xE9C2f1452F600c903Cd9350ee9Ed019d2F3A9303-1747162027426
0xe9c2f1452f600c903cd9350ee9ed019d2f3a9303
- Realised P&L
- $906.42
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $582.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.179 | $578.54 | −$21.45 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.018 | $3.23 | −$96.77 |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.002 | $0.28 | −$99.72 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday? · Yes | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.346 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
- +$413.17at 0.326US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$201.67at 0.480US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$147.76at 0.670US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$126.03at 0.704Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:17 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1863341724 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 20:16 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1706253028 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 10:24 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1308986512 | $200.00 |
| 06-23 09:12 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3493922838 | $200.00 |
| 06-22 18:39 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.53105163 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 11:22 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.2786154129 | $60.56 |
| 06-22 08:04 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.460082319 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 14:05 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5412987396 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 14:30 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0529369116 | $107.24 |
| 05-19 09:56 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1238095228 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 09:55 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0785396775 | $200.83 |
| 05-19 09:54 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1231485089 | $150.00 |
| 05-17 16:51 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0389999982 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 16:50 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0303847047 | $40.00 |
| 05-17 16:24 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0274830979 | $20.00 |