0xe9bef6c0d99362c67227e82ef4dc849eeb8be3b6
0xe9bef6c0d99362c67227e82ef4dc849eeb8be3b6
- Realised P&L
- $3.32
- Volume
- $253.18
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $7.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.961 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.986 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.795 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.280 | 0.260 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.305 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.225 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.285 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.125 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.051 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.79at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.77at 0.379Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.460WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?
- +$2.69at 0.462Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:29 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:28 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:20 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:11 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:59 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:57 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:54 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |