0xe9bef6c0d99362c67227e82ef4dc849eeb8be3b6
- Realised P&L
- $4.90
- Volume
- $53.23
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $24.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.980 | $4.59 | +$2.34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.785 | $3.15 | +$0.90 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.530 | 0.715 | $3.04 | +$0.79 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.290 | $2.84 | +$0.59 |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.700 | $2.46 | +$0.21 |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.785 | $2.45 | +$0.20 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.610 | 0.595 | $2.19 | −$0.06 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.520 | 0.295 | $1.28 | −$0.97 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.315 | $1.27 | −$0.98 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.330 | 0.175 | $1.19 | −$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.450Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:09 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6099999919 | $2.25 |
| 08-05 05:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5299998916 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 20:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5199998983 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 04:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999104 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 20:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3299999413 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 11:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999376 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 03:34 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 03:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.25 |
| 08-02 19:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999104 | $2.25 |