0xe9B544861584744EF9778144B6FbFb173f0E8702-1761146836131
0xe9b544861584744ef9778144b6fbfb173f0e8702
- Realised P&L
- $-40.41
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $91.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.735 | $61.89 | −$18.11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.320 | $27.23 | −$12.77 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.979 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.973 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4? · Yes | 0.744 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.59at 0.632Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
- +$13.62at 0.217Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
- +$11.67at 0.911Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
- +$8.26at 0.911Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?
- +$4.37at 0.932Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 23:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $80.00 |
| 10-15 23:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 16:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.34 | $40.47 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 14:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 14:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6223021211 | $50.00 |
| 03-13 12:30 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $55.26 |
| 03-09 23:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 03-09 15:16 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 02-06 19:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.9319999917 | $50.00 |
| 02-06 19:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.929999995 | $50.00 |
| 02-06 19:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | SELL | 0.87 | $78.00 |
| 02-06 19:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February? | SELL | 0.7255431205 | $55.11 |
| 02-04 17:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 02-04 16:26 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | BUY | 0.8399999754 | $15.00 |