PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9B544861584744EF9778144B6FbFb173f0E8702-1761146836131

0xe9b544861584744ef9778144b6fbfb173f0e8702

Realised P&L
$-40.41
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$91.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes0.9500.735$61.89−$18.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes0.4700.320$27.23−$12.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8500.979$1.15+$0.15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8600.973$1.13+$0.13
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4? · Yes0.7440.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 23:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.95$80.00
10-15 23:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.4699999999$40.00
09-21 16:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.34$40.47
09-16 12:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-15 14:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.2099999983$25.00
09-15 14:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.6223021211$50.00
03-13 12:30US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.21$55.26
03-09 23:14US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3799999987$100.00
03-09 15:16US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
02-06 19:08Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?BUY0.9319999917$50.00
02-06 19:08Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?BUY0.929999995$50.00
02-06 19:06Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?SELL0.87$78.00
02-06 19:06Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?SELL0.7255431205$55.11
02-04 17:08Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?BUY0.9099999994$15.00
02-04 16:26Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?BUY0.8399999754$15.00