0xe99a2aa02c37b7f4c35f00e2b2b2ab15d1071209-1792669569129
0xe99a2aa02c37b7f4c35f00e2b2b2ab15d1071209
- Realised P&L
- $129.15
- Volume
- $540.41
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $79.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.56at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?
- +$15.21at 0.210Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
- +$13.83at 0.280Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$11.69at 0.100Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 22?
- +$11.44at 0.400Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 07:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 07:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 24? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-23 07:51 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999881 | $4.13 |
| 10-23 00:59 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.221 | $0.04 |
| 10-23 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 10-23 00:54 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-23 00:48 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 10-23 00:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.8878612392 | $4.90 |
| 10-22 23:21 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.908 | $4.54 |
| 10-22 21:35 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-22 21:31 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-22 21:27 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.01 |
| 10-22 21:24 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-22 21:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.952 | $19.04 |
| 10-22 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.656 | $3.28 |