PolyBot

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Traders

0xe99a2aa02c37b7f4c35f00e2b2b2ab15d1071209-1792669569129

0xe99a2aa02c37b7f4c35f00e2b2b2ab15d1071209

Realised P&L
$129.15
Volume
$540.41
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$79.39

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar23.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on October 24? · No0.9101.000$20.00+$1.80
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 24? · No0.9951.000$10.05+$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 22? · Yes0.0911.000$8.01+$7.28
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? · No0.3800.671$6.71+$2.92
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No0.9700.994$5.14+$0.12
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.2931.000$5.00+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24? · Yes0.0911.000$5.00+$4.55
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No0.8300.955$4.94+$0.65
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No0.7500.895$4.63+$0.75
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No0.8620.440$2.28−$2.18
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%? · Yes0.2500.085$1.65−$3.22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.7700.840$1.10+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? · No0.0700.075$1.08+$0.07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0830.086$0.99+$0.04
Will Elizabeth Peltola be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.0310.047$0.94+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 07:56Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 24?BUY0.995$10.00
10-23 07:55Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 24?BUY0.73$3.65
10-23 07:51Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.8199999881$4.13
10-23 00:59Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.221$0.04
10-23 00:58Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 23?BUY0.66$26.40
10-23 00:54Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.21$4.20
10-23 00:48Will PSOE win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.72$14.40
10-23 00:37Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 22?BUY0.8878612392$4.90
10-22 23:21Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?BUY0.908$4.54
10-22 21:35Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.62$12.40
10-22 21:31Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.69$3.45
10-22 21:27Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.97$5.01
10-22 21:24Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.28$1.40
10-22 21:19Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 23?BUY0.952$19.04
10-22 21:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 22?BUY0.656$3.28