0xe95f6456f58ee18a290f742d0da1425b860e242d
0xe95f6456f58ee18a290f742d0da1425b860e242d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.92
- Volume
- $278.68
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $3.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.580 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No | 0.506 | 0.503 | $0.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.240 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$2.03at 0.502Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:57 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.5059998937 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:14 | Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:11 | Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:09 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:54 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:53 | Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:27 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:10 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:43 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |