RizkyMuda
0xe9534625c1a08d4d8a5bf3db682885c37665a4f9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $186.4k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $29.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.57at 0.301Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$264.67at 0.299Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$198.80at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$198.05at 0.504Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$126.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:58 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 09-28 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $9.52 |
| 09-26 16:56 | Will Estonia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.015 | $4.50 |
| 09-24 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-24 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-24 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-18 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-18 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $5.64 |
| 09-18 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-18 10:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |