0xe94ae1daf0334002c2efedf550f4d63a389d5ebc
0xe94ae1daf0334002c2efedf550f4d63a389d5ebc
- Realised P&L
- $-6.24
- Volume
- $153.66
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.998 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.295 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.145 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$2.57at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:11 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 03:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:26 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:33 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |