PolyBot

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Traders

RepublicOfChina

0xe947b0748c6f37c656c7674636f93b4c527c7a45

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$618.3k
Markets traded
923
Open portfolio
$9.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded923
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:04Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.9335681818$41.08
11-01 21:522026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$813.05
10-31 16:23Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.71$81.30
10-31 16:17Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7005525996$114.51
10-31 16:15Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?SELL0.3619048828$57.00
10-31 05:56Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.81$78.99
10-31 05:55Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.53$96.53
10-27 18:49Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.666$157.18
10-26 20:32Will no listed leader be out before 2027?SELL0.56$16.03
10-26 20:12Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6499999991$114.51
10-25 21:26SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9466797944$747.81
10-25 21:17Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.6$352.21
10-25 21:08Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.6$114.51
10-25 21:07Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.6999999969$114.51
10-25 20:54Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.6$68.72