RepublicOfChina
0xe947b0748c6f37c656c7674636f93b4c527c7a45
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $618.3k
- Markets traded
- 923
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded923
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.801Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
- +$3.0kat 0.811Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
- +$2.6kat 0.066Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
- +$2.5kat 0.882South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$1.2kat 0.565Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:04 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.9335681818 | $41.08 |
| 11-01 21:52 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $813.05 |
| 10-31 16:23 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.71 | $81.30 |
| 10-31 16:17 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7005525996 | $114.51 |
| 10-31 16:15 | Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.3619048828 | $57.00 |
| 10-31 05:56 | Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $78.99 |
| 10-31 05:55 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.53 | $96.53 |
| 10-27 18:49 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.666 | $157.18 |
| 10-26 20:32 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $16.03 |
| 10-26 20:12 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $114.51 |
| 10-25 21:26 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9466797944 | $747.81 |
| 10-25 21:17 | Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6 | $352.21 |
| 10-25 21:08 | Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6 | $114.51 |
| 10-25 21:07 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.6999999969 | $114.51 |
| 10-25 20:54 | Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6 | $68.72 |