0xe93606216887c87bfcaa2d52d6b629179658e32a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.65
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.041 | $0.39 | −$0.10 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.022 | $0.14 | −$0.06 |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.008 | $0.02 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.13at 0.034Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?
- +$-0.17at 0.014Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.18at 0.027Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
- +$-0.33at 0.059Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$-0.39at 0.010Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 02:48 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 02:36 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.03 |
| 07-14 02:36 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.02 |
| 07-14 02:36 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 07-14 02:35 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.02 |
| 07-13 16:45 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.58 |
| 07-13 16:45 | Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.47 |
| 07-13 16:45 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.00684 | $0.34 |
| 07-13 16:45 | Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 07-13 16:45 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.32 |
| 07-13 16:45 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.019 | $6.08 |
| 07-13 16:44 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 07-13 16:44 | Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.96 |
| 07-13 16:44 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.91 |
| 07-13 16:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.91 |