sergee
0xe8fe93d2e5106eed4f5fbb7e1f07b246a3e1348e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $243.8k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $112.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: LA (-9.5) · NYG | 0.590 | 0.585 | $58.94 | −$0.50 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $10.53 | −$0.09 |
| Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.495 | $7.92 | −$1.52 |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals · Seahawks | 0.790 | 1.000 | $7.00 | +$1.47 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Cowboys | 0.700 | 0.995 | $6.96 | +$2.06 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.760 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.20 |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) · Seattle Storm | 0.520 | 0.455 | $4.55 | −$0.65 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.540 | $4.32 | −$1.44 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Chiefs | 0.720 | 0.715 | $4.29 | −$0.03 |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.655 | $3.28 | −$0.04 |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 · Under | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.44 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers · Chargers | 0.630 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.98at 0.471France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$83.13at 0.659Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$65.05at 0.320Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$58.95at 0.072Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$44.65at 0.154Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:50 | Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $9.45 |
| 09-20 22:45 | Spread: Jaguars (-1.5) | SELL | 0.92 | $15.64 |
| 09-20 22:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 09-20 22:37 | Spread: LA (-9.5) | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 22:36 | Spread: LA (-9.5) | SELL | 0.41 | $48.81 |
| 09-20 22:36 | Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $9.44 |
| 09-20 22:36 | Spread: LA (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Spread: 49ers (-14.5) | SELL | 0.9519083105 | $79.84 |
| 09-20 21:49 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 21:49 | Spread: 49ers (-14.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 21:48 | Spread: 49ers (-14.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $9.72 |
| 09-20 21:43 | Spread: 49ers (-14.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $9.69 |
| 09-20 21:42 | Browns vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-20 21:36 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.76 |
| 09-20 21:33 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |