HL-Jup
0xe8f72949c74134625cee5682be02cf779dac99b5
- Realised P&L
- $-406.98
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $162.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.605 | $75.42 | +$0.62 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.305 | $47.82 | −$2.18 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders · Eagles | 0.300 | 0.295 | $29.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Saints vs. Ravens · Ravens | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Panthers vs. Packers · Panthers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos · Seahawks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.58at 0.397Bills vs. Rams
- +$122.41at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$44.10at 0.412Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?
- +$40.23at 0.557Browns vs. Titans
- +$32.73at 0.647Ravens vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:16 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 19:15 | Ravens vs. Bills | SELL | 0.86 | $134.38 |
| 10-29 23:07 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 01:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | SELL | 0.59 | $24.78 |
| 10-27 01:15 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 01:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 01:03 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.3188839063 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 00:59 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.16 |
| 10-27 00:59 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.609999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.2476622749 | $112.79 |
| 10-27 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4391708448 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | SELL | 0.6937197372 | $231.24 |