0xe8F71aafd51cbC67BB010575EE12Afc776d87Ead-1771987822532
0xe8f71aafd51cbc67bb010575ee12afc776d87ead
- Realised P&L
- $626.64
- Volume
- $266.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,510
- Open portfolio
- $251.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,510
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.20at 0.043US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$332.51at 0.737Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$158.33at 0.240LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
- +$151.66at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$142.04at 0.090Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:47 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.34 |
| 10-02 23:12 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.76 |
| 10-02 23:12 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-02 12:31 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.03 |
| 10-01 17:06 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.04 |
| 10-01 16:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 07:58 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.44 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:04 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 17:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $15.40 |
| 09-29 10:32 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.314 | $2.28 |
| 09-29 06:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.27 |
| 09-28 23:32 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.22 |
| 09-28 17:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $19.76 |
| 09-28 13:29 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.62 | $9.99 |
| 09-28 08:20 | Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $10.00 |