myuser6342
0xe8f3d472cee7f802393e88ab13c77c24c5a1d50a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.73
- Volume
- $400.61
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $4.63 | +$0.53 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.971 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.095 | $0.60 | −$1.40 |
| Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.155 | $0.20 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.69at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?
- +$2.70at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on April 8?
- +$1.59at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$1.27at 0.611Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
- +$0.74at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.93 |
| 04-10 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $0.95 |
| 04-10 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $2.59 |
| 04-10 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.91 |
| 04-10 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $0.92 |
| 04-09 16:42 | Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 04-08 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.91 |
| 04-08 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $0.97 |
| 04-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.94 |
| 04-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8? | BUY | 0.9269999949 | $1.99 |
| 04-08 06:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 04-07 23:30 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.46 |
| 04-07 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.35 |