PolyBot

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Traders

myuser6342

0xe8f3d472cee7f802393e88ab13c77c24c5a1d50a

Realised P&L
$-3.73
Volume
$400.61
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$6.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8200.925$4.63+$0.53
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9190.971$1.06+$0.06
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes0.3190.095$0.60−$1.40
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? · Yes0.2300.155$0.20−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.52$0.93
04-10 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.63$0.95
04-10 18:09Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSELL0.98$2.59
04-10 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.3599998704$0.91
04-10 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4699998778$0.92
04-09 16:42Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?BUY0.579999826$1.00
04-09 16:39Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9?SELL0.001$0.00
04-08 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.91
04-08 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.7899999921$0.97
04-08 17:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9?BUY0.8$2.94
04-08 06:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8?BUY0.9269999949$1.99
04-08 06:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.001$0.09
04-07 23:30US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
04-07 23:30Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 7?SELL0.999$0.46
04-07 23:29Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 7?SELL0.999$0.35