PolyBot

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Traders

stardustdream

0xe8dfca266e1a82ef24c1b2fce7796590ebeb41e1

Realised P&L
$205.83
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? · No0.9310.971$1.5k+$62.46
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No0.9300.965$756.52+$27.28
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.910$651.89+$36.53
Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? · Yes0.7960.875$561.55+$50.39
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.988$493.98+$27.26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9670.969$484.25+$0.75
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? · No0.9160.973$206.67+$12.15
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.915$198.56−$1.37
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9270.969$156.49+$6.78
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9590.951$142.57−$1.22
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.920$124.20+$0.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9870.986$110.28−$0.11
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9640.964$96.35−$0.05
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.945$94.50+$2.50
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.951$38.02+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:07Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.987$110.40
11-02 10:35Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;SELL0.065$0.43
11-02 10:34Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?BUY0.89$129.21
11-02 01:08Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.967$483.50
11-01 23:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.96$24.00
11-01 19:26Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.96$48.00
11-01 19:26Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.959$47.95
11-01 19:24Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.957$47.85
11-01 13:37Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$124.20
11-01 09:58Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.991$42.36
11-01 00:25Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?BUY0.79$15.80
11-01 00:23Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.964$96.40
11-01 00:21Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$483.72
11-01 00:19Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?SELL0.81$8.10
10-31 21:37Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$30.69