0xe8d6D5Df813ed89f8AC988CE7F906371c845E410-1783406180338
0xe8d6d5df813ed89f8ac988ce7f906371c845e410
- Realised P&L
- $-889.35
- Volume
- $94.9k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $200.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.31at 0.174Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
- +$148.91at 0.552Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
- +$119.32at 0.063Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$43.60at 0.642Hamburg European Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anhelina Kalinina
- +$35.62at 0.519Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:39 | Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4 | $27.49 |
| 11-01 12:38 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 12:33 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.194 | $60.45 |
| 11-01 00:57 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.171 | $64.98 |
| 10-31 21:59 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.058 | $10.51 |
| 10-31 21:56 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 16:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.4238888889 | $38.15 |
| 10-31 15:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.72 |
| 10-29 17:36 | Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | SELL | 0.1157107143 | $16.20 |
| 10-29 17:36 | Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.1136406886 | $21.78 |
| 10-29 17:36 | Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.5539127461 | $72.88 |
| 10-29 07:42 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 10-29 07:38 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.0135 | $5.40 |
| 10-28 10:37 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more? | BUY | 0.3599999955 | $16.00 |
| 10-28 08:46 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? | BUY | 0.046 | $5.98 |