PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe8d6D5Df813ed89f8AC988CE7F906371c845E410-1783406180338

0xe8d6d5df813ed89f8ac988ce7f906371c845e410

Realised P&L
$-889.35
Volume
$94.9k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$200.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:39Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4$27.49
11-01 12:38Eagles vs. CommandersBUY0.3$30.00
11-01 12:33Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.194$60.45
11-01 00:57Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.171$64.98
10-31 21:59Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.058$10.51
10-31 21:56Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.3699999958$30.00
10-31 16:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.4238888889$38.15
10-31 15:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.43$12.72
10-29 17:36Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?SELL0.1157107143$16.20
10-29 17:36Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?SELL0.1136406886$21.78
10-29 17:36Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.5539127461$72.88
10-29 07:42Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$6.00
10-29 07:38Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.0135$5.40
10-28 10:37Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?BUY0.3599999955$16.00
10-28 08:46Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?BUY0.046$5.98