Palirose
0xe8c59fd4aaec5ab8da2aec93d8b91da86dd68ed4
- Realised P&L
- $-41.63
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $3.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.00at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?
- +$24.57at 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?
- +$18.16at 0.055Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
- +$14.81at 0.119Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17?
- +$10.05at 0.096Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 14:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 06:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 12:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 12:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 12:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 12:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 11:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0247618808 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |