PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Palirose

0xe8c59fd4aaec5ab8da2aec93d8b91da86dd68ed4

Realised P&L
$-41.63
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$3.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 07:24Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-14 07:23Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?BUY0.16$1.00
09-10 10:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?BUY0.032$1.00
09-10 10:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
08-28 17:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006999993$1.00
08-28 14:34Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 24-30?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
08-25 06:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
08-25 06:17Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-22 12:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
08-20 12:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 20?BUY0.001$1.00
08-20 12:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?BUY0.016$1.00
08-20 12:01Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 17-23?BUY0.01$1.00
08-20 11:57Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?BUY0.01$1.00
08-07 09:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?BUY0.0247618808$1.00
08-07 09:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?BUY0.1299998986$1.00