PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jovi63

0xe8b7e2504431d56d49062c935fb65e5a2a6d6d1f

Realised P&L
$-88.96
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$22.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.175$11.67+$1.67
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0800.045$5.63−$4.38
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1500.135$4.50−$0.50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · Yes0.0370.002$0.20−$4.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? · No0.2350.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.1910.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 07:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
09-05 07:29Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$10.00
09-05 07:26Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-03 17:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.25$5.00
07-03 17:47US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.0343171603$1.63
07-03 17:47Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.031$1.82
07-03 17:472026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.42$3.96
07-03 17:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.13$4.10
07-03 17:462026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.019$14.79
07-03 17:46Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?SELL0.2078512089$13.41
05-25 19:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1899999766$6.00
04-10 17:562026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.007$5.45
04-10 17:552026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.529999965$5.00
04-10 17:40JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?BUY0.2347831191$5.00
04-09 18:35Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0774873302$5.00