jovi63
0xe8b7e2504431d56d49062c935fb65e5a2a6d6d1f
- Realised P&L
- $-88.96
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $22.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.74at 0.460Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
- +$9.73at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$8.76at 0.0072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$7.88at 0.077Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
- +$2.83at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 07:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 07:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 07:26 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 17:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 17:47 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.0343171603 | $1.63 |
| 07-03 17:47 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.82 |
| 07-03 17:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.42 | $3.96 |
| 07-03 17:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.10 |
| 07-03 17:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.019 | $14.79 |
| 07-03 17:46 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2078512089 | $13.41 |
| 05-25 19:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999766 | $6.00 |
| 04-10 17:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.007 | $5.45 |
| 04-10 17:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 17:40 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | BUY | 0.2347831191 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 18:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0774873302 | $5.00 |