angelaspencer
0xe8991b54aa8ee2b7b273df34a6e4c464cd581c5c
- Realised P&L
- $0.94
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $132.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.975 | $112.79 | +$2.70 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.967 | $19.38 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.620Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$1.16at 0.991Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.978Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.76at 0.983Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$0.72at 0.750Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:31 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.03 |
| 08-12 11:56 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999757 | $19.84 |
| 07-14 09:38 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9516974348 | $110.09 |
| 05-11 15:01 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $127.99 |
| 04-20 14:18 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.7599999724 | $2.20 |
| 04-20 12:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.27 |
| 04-16 09:09 | Will Solana reach $120 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.9979210477 | $79.23 |
| 04-09 17:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.11 |
| 04-09 12:19 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | BUY | 0.8599997274 | $2.65 |
| 04-08 11:51 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.42 |
| 04-02 20:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.9989999932 | $80.36 |
| 04-02 17:11 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.829999946 | $2.46 |
| 04-02 16:18 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.15 |
| 04-02 15:12 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999172 | $1.16 |
| 04-02 14:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.981999987 | $43.31 |