augustdamonth
0xe872ed19c13848f840635f04beb4835b298d49d7
- Realised P&L
- $-26.77
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $16.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.280 | 0.125 | $12.67 | −$15.70 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? · No | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.61 | −$4.39 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%? · Over | 0.010 | 0.006 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:52 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%? | BUY | 0.0099009901 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0041091387 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 20:09 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.99 |
| 09-14 20:02 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 19:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:13 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2799999988 | $28.37 |