PolyBot

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Traders

Alfonso.FL

0xe844c9b26bca971b063c3977a46fda86b561427e

Realised P&L
$-5.98
Volume
$388.21
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$24.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.670$3.90+$0.00
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · Yes0.5700.945$2.92+$1.16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3840.482$2.76+$0.56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5250.462$2.64−$0.36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.295$2.48−$0.04
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1500.145$2.42−$0.08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4300.630$1.80+$0.57
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October? · No0.4000.350$1.68−$0.24
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.8100.815$1.64+$0.01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? · Yes0.4000.405$1.01+$0.01
Sweden snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2000.160$0.80−$0.20
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.6630.000$0.00−$9.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 14:00Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?BUY0.4$1.92
10-18 13:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5249999738$3.00
10-18 13:28Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$2.52
10-18 13:11Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.149999997$2.50
10-18 12:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.86$10.11
10-18 07:02Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?BUY0.4$1.00
10-18 07:02Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?BUY0.669999945$3.90
10-18 06:55Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.24$3.16
10-17 21:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.23$1.18
10-17 21:11Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?SELL0.123$0.78
10-11 09:46Will Simon peak at Category 3?SELL0.004$0.01
10-09 08:32Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4299998672$1.23
10-09 08:30Will Simon peak at Category 3?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-05 13:41Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$0.96
10-05 13:34Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00