Alfonso.FL
0xe844c9b26bca971b063c3977a46fda86b561427e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.98
- Volume
- $388.21
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $24.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.91at 0.351Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$1.11at 0.520Spain snap election called by October 31?
- +$0.48at 0.196Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.856Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?
- +$0.33at 0.124Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:00 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.92 |
| 10-18 13:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5249999738 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 13:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.52 |
| 10-18 13:11 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $2.50 |
| 10-18 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $10.11 |
| 10-18 07:02 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:02 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.669999945 | $3.90 |
| 10-18 06:55 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.16 |
| 10-17 21:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.18 |
| 10-17 21:11 | Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.123 | $0.78 |
| 10-11 09:46 | Will Simon peak at Category 3? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998672 | $1.23 |
| 10-09 08:30 | Will Simon peak at Category 3? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:41 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.96 |
| 10-05 13:34 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |