0xe831548a9d677F838E846c7e1DFc3C37ECF05422-1775045132526
0xe831548a9d677f838e846c7e1dfc3c37ecf05422
- Realised P&L
- $31.32
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $228.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.86at 0.070Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$18.01at 0.357Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
- +$11.78at 0.433Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?
- +$10.19at 0.164Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?
- +$10.10at 0.498Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 22:45 | Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.86 |
| 04-21 05:29 | Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $1.95 |
| 04-21 05:29 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $1.95 |
| 04-21 05:28 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $2.92 |
| 04-16 20:46 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $0.95 |
| 04-16 20:45 | Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? | BUY | 0.6813064957 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 20:45 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.2007599872 | $4.00 |
| 04-16 20:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 20:42 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 20:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.749208336 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 20:41 | Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 20:40 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 22:49 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 04-15 22:49 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 22:49 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999894 | $11.00 |