0xe8314de55108fcafc9ceae3d626517157a319c58
0xe8314de55108fcafc9ceae3d626517157a319c58
- Realised P&L
- $-4.31
- Volume
- $95.08
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.940 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.145 | $0.58 | −$0.70 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.117 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.120 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.34at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.81at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.81at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.47at 0.470Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.560Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:42 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:07 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998574 | $1.28 |
| 09-23 02:12 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998204 | $1.06 |
| 09-20 03:59 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998844 | $1.28 |
| 09-19 03:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.5999999062 | $1.28 |
| 09-15 03:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.5199998863 | $1.28 |
| 09-14 06:52 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998917 | $1.28 |
| 09-13 22:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998383 | $1.28 |
| 09-11 06:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.819999795 | $1.28 |
| 09-10 10:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999863 | $1.28 |
| 09-10 02:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.28 |