PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gagagagagaga

0xe80e8498ed55be13f85d9713b73c622e54659211

Realised P&L
$-333.25
Volume
$111.3k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$12.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9350.946$3.6k+$40.85
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9150.883$3.4k$121.21
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.7940.920$2.3k+$317.26
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9530.982$2.2k+$65.64
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes0.8310.355$734.54$984.69
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.5110.105$205.38$794.62
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9200.314$170.65$329.35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.958$101.91+$1.91
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.077$40.79$59.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 14:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.93$164.84
06-04 09:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.93$623.96
06-04 09:01AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.81$7.11
06-04 09:01Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.874$305.78
05-23 14:07AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.82$36.90
05-23 14:07Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.874$34.96
04-04 15:07AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.77$1.05
04-04 15:07Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.924$462.00
03-12 15:10Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.941537588$421.88
03-12 15:10Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.9749626214$500.00
03-12 15:09Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.09189924$100.00
03-12 15:08Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0481342826$100.00
03-12 15:08Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0397421253$100.00
03-12 15:08Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0292520851$100.00
03-12 15:07Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1640192431$200.00