gagagagagaga
0xe80e8498ed55be13f85d9713b73c622e54659211
- Realised P&L
- $-333.25
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $12.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.935 | 0.946 | $3.6k | +$40.85 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.915 | 0.883 | $3.4k | −$121.21 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.794 | 0.920 | $2.3k | +$317.26 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.953 | 0.982 | $2.2k | +$65.64 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes | 0.831 | 0.355 | $734.54 | −$984.69 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.105 | $205.38 | −$794.62 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.314 | $170.65 | −$329.35 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.958 | $101.91 | +$1.91 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.077 | $40.79 | −$59.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$673.96at 0.915Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$603.49at 0.476Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$555.30at 0.132Capitals vs. Oilers
- +$505.55at 0.810SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$357.00at 0.930Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 14:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $164.84 |
| 06-04 09:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $623.96 |
| 06-04 09:01 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.11 |
| 06-04 09:01 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.874 | $305.78 |
| 05-23 14:07 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $36.90 |
| 05-23 14:07 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.874 | $34.96 |
| 04-04 15:07 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.05 |
| 04-04 15:07 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $462.00 |
| 03-12 15:10 | Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.941537588 | $421.88 |
| 03-12 15:10 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9749626214 | $500.00 |
| 03-12 15:09 | Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09189924 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 15:08 | Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0481342826 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 15:08 | Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0397421253 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 15:08 | Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0292520851 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 15:07 | Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1640192431 | $200.00 |