numbernine
0xe7fd3fb56636dedc7dc481eca4b08d8ab5fb89de
- Realised P&L
- $-20.0k
- Volume
- $3.45M
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $38.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.2kat 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.7kat 0.541Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$18.0kat 0.487Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$14.8kat 0.564US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$12.4kat 0.529Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:56 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.3k |
| 09-16 13:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.0k |
| 09-13 08:37 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.236 | $1.7k |
| 09-13 08:32 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.2k |
| 09-13 08:31 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.165 | $183.63 |
| 09-13 08:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.7k |
| 09-13 08:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 08:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 08:29 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.7k |
| 08-12 12:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.3k |
| 08-05 13:00 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.0k |
| 07-29 08:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.795 | $14.2k |
| 07-28 12:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.461 | $2.5k |
| 07-28 12:09 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.0k |
| 07-28 12:09 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.5k |