321ppqq123
0xe7fa6d20553b52d7035dc51a2101a06f251b5633
- Realised P&L
- $7.06
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $241.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No | 0.968 | 0.983 | $56.42 | +$0.83 |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.993 | 0.995 | $52.71 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat? · No | 0.996 | 0.955 | $50.62 | −$2.17 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.969 | 0.733 | $40.31 | −$12.98 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $26.71 | −$0.14 |
| Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.980 | $14.67 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.975Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.21at 0.969Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$0.74at 0.986Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$0.55at 0.950Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
- +$0.47at 0.979Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999995 | $21.70 |