PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ReneeCastaneda9762

0xe7edb35fc4edbb235bdb91fc3fc5c5d71a35ec87

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$152.3k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$521.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No0.8100.930$268.77+$34.68
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · No0.8700.945$88.83+$7.05
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.6600.760$79.80+$10.50
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · No0.7100.964$47.69+$12.55
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.045$26.28$73.00
Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3900.050$8.50$57.80
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.1200.205$1.02+$0.42
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2300.125$0.38$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 04:39U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?BUY0.81$234.09
04-21 09:15Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.68$10.20
04-21 09:05Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$61.77
04-21 09:03Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$66.12
04-21 09:02Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$79.17
04-21 04:43Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.67$136.01
04-21 04:28Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$21.75
04-21 04:27Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$111.36
04-12 14:57Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.07$21.63
04-12 01:28Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?SELL0.26$5.20
04-12 00:29Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.82$158.26
04-12 00:28Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.82$463.30
04-11 17:55MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$29.88
04-11 09:50Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.87$133.98
04-11 09:18Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?SELL0.1$1.80