rzalupkin1
0xe7b2ee007632de476143e3310e5ba192bc08e55a
- Realised P&L
- $754.12
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $194.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.962 | $50.82 | −$0.61 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.965 | $50.20 | +$0.78 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.981 | 0.973 | $48.24 | −$0.42 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.961 | $45.12 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$715.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?
- +$259.92at 0.620Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$163.16at 0.380Flyers vs. Rangers
- +$153.33at 0.600Blues vs. Jets
- +$2.55at 0.940US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 11:18 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.48 |
| 08-14 11:17 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.98 |
| 03-18 12:52 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.972 | $19.44 |
| 03-18 12:51 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |
| 08-12 12:49 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $715.00 |
| 05-04 13:40 | Blues vs. Jets | BUY | 0.5999999995 | $230.00 |
| 05-01 12:31 | Maple Leafs vs. Senators | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $124.00 |
| 04-15 06:56 | Capitals vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 04-14 12:21 | Rangers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $63.00 |
| 04-12 10:31 | Rangers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.37 | $148.00 |
| 04-09 07:30 | Flyers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 06:19 | Islanders vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-03 05:21 | Bucks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.16 | $64.00 |