PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bee

0xe78f5180d16d1fbb1a6fd48b03d38aeeb97e8917

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$2.24M
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$14.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.035$14.3k+$3.2k
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.007$497.69+$99.57
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0840.077$51.48−$4.32
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0130.030$30.50+$17.50
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1800.225$23.63+$4.72
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1080.116$11.55+$0.75
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2060.155$11.19−$3.68
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.018$1.85−$0.05
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.014$1.40+$0.10
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$8.79
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:19Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?BUY0.084$55.80
10-28 03:27Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?BUY0.013$13.00
10-27 09:51Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.021$10.54
10-27 09:42Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?SELL0.008$0.80
10-27 09:39Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?BUY0.009$9.12
10-27 09:38Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?BUY0.008$9.60
10-27 09:37Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?BUY0.0080330979$7.77
10-26 21:32Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?BUY0.003$1.02
10-25 05:00Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?BUY0.011$1.10
10-25 04:59Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.005$1.16
10-25 04:58Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.004$1.07
10-24 22:21Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.108$10.80
10-24 22:11Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-24 21:51Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-24 21:35Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.18$18.90