bee
0xe78f5180d16d1fbb1a6fd48b03d38aeeb97e8917
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $2.17M
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.025 | $9.9k | −$1.2k |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.160 | $11.55 | −$3.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.953Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$1.5kat 0.264Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during her Pennsylvania speech?
- +$1.1kat 0.049Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$1.1kat 0.193Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$541.78at 0.700Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 04:03 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0138761028 | $14.75 |
| 07-26 01:26 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.02460126 | $12.30 |
| 07-12 05:46 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0642396776 | $134.95 |
| 06-24 17:13 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0306279074 | $157.24 |
| 05-11 07:35 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0450669071 | $63.09 |
| 05-11 07:34 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $18.00 |
| 05-09 17:12 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0211030197 | $68.12 |
| 05-03 06:23 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $23.69 |
| 05-03 06:14 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.50 |
| 01-05 12:48 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3241115 | $64.82 |
| 12-09 21:49 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.022 | $14.82 |
| 11-29 22:50 | Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.049 | $10.78 |
| 10-23 06:46 | Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? | SELL | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 10-16 01:50 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.027 | $556.96 |
| 08-08 16:11 | Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.003 | $11.55 |