NoFear-418
0xe78b2917a2cbb1ae2e2cbf9e6f7e264d8b79206e
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.00at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$300.00at 0.250Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5
- +$153.89at 0.864Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$153.30at 0.765Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
- +$143.90at 0.410Spread: France (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3125113302 | $47.00 |
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1830993987 | $84.00 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.956 | $77.53 |
| 08-02 12:57 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-20 14:27 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $191.00 |
| 07-19 17:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 17:29 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:34 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.4669999957 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 21:07 | France vs. England: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 17:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $120.00 |
| 07-15 16:14 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6749999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 18:06 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:22 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3749999962 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 17:07 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |