NoFear-418
0xe78b2917a2cbb1ae2e2cbf9e6f7e264d8b79206e
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$624.19at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$501.58at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$296.25at 0.259Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5
- +$207.76at 0.622Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
- +$177.78at 0.360Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:25 | Israel Election: Likud & RZP Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0263581644 | $2.44 |
| 09-08 14:12 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.36 | $23.45 |
| 09-08 14:12 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.150544723 | $14.00 |
| 09-08 14:10 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-04 22:22 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.6175084214 | $200.00 |
| 08-16 10:24 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2404461141 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 18:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 18:04 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? | BUY | 0.0234503221 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 18:01 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.9145129224 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 17:51 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3125113302 | $47.00 |
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1830993987 | $84.00 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.956 | $77.53 |
| 08-02 12:57 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-20 14:27 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $191.00 |