ffcff
0xe7814bf2e160adef34c1f3aa951c8924557e4d87
- Realised P&L
- $-860.66
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $668.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.94at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$61.38at 0.587Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
- +$46.50at 0.690Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$41.00at 0.590Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?
- +$36.25at 0.734Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 05:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $31.06 |
| 10-21 10:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.62 | $39.88 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.72 | $98.17 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.54 | $39.05 |
| 10-13 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.72 |
| 10-01 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.72 |
| 10-01 08:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $34.48 |
| 10-01 08:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.028 | $6.78 |
| 10-01 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $77.22 |
| 10-01 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $66.05 |
| 10-01 08:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.026 | $14.03 |
| 10-01 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.07 | $41.93 |
| 10-01 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.026 | $10.83 |
| 09-29 03:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-21 04:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $105.62 |