PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ffcff

0xe7814bf2e160adef34c1f3aa951c8924557e4d87

Realised P&L
$-860.66
Volume
$42.0k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$668.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · No0.9780.985$100.71+$0.71
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9760.978$100.15+$0.15
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.9200.982$98.70+$6.18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · No0.8400.815$97.80−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? · No0.7600.715$92.95−$5.85
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · No0.9770.982$50.26+$0.26
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.705$24.74+$4.74
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.835$24.56+$4.56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.895$22.66+$2.66
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.945$21.72+$1.72
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · No0.9810.972$19.81−$0.19
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.895$11.19+$1.19
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9280.968$3.43+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 05:07Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?BUY0.91$31.06
10-21 10:36Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.62$39.88
10-13 17:57Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.72$98.17
10-13 17:57Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.54$39.05
10-13 14:53Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.48$5.72
10-01 08:50Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.08$14.72
10-01 08:49Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.08$34.48
10-01 08:37Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.028$6.78
10-01 08:35Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.13$77.22
10-01 08:31Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.08$66.05
10-01 08:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.026$14.03
10-01 08:26Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.07$41.93
10-01 08:26Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.026$10.83
09-29 03:18Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?SELL0.001$0.12
09-21 04:17Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.51$105.62