BetterDeadThanRed
0xe77b0f75dad2da6addff45321ac04e4f95f44938
- Realised P&L
- $-92.85
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $30.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.23at 0.144Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.21at 0.417Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
- +$11.05at 0.110Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
- +$9.04at 0.377Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:35 | Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 16:35 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 16:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 16:32 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 16:09 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 13:25 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 15:31 | Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 15:24 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.89 |
| 10-16 15:20 | Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 15:16 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 12:51 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 12:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999905 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 12:26 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.88 |
| 10-16 12:18 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 14:27 | Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.0961919505 | $3.11 |