PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BetterDeadThanRed

0xe77b0f75dad2da6addff45321ac04e4f95f44938

Realised P&L
$-92.85
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$30.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yes0.6521.000$9.19+$3.19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.9490.996$4.20+$0.20
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? · Yes0.9100.952$4.18+$0.18
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · No0.7600.760$4.00+$0.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No0.5500.520$3.78−$0.22
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31? · No0.7900.655$3.32−$0.68
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.8700.355$1.63−$2.37
Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yes0.7100.035$0.30−$5.70
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.7330.000$0.00−$26.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? · No0.8780.000$0.00−$4.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.1730.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? · Yes0.8910.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6140.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.4890.000$0.00−$4.00
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 2 - 0 São Paulo FC? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 16:35Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?BUY0.6899999345$2.00
10-17 16:35Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?BUY0.6199998946$2.00
10-17 16:33Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.549999945$4.00
10-17 16:32Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY0.87$4.00
10-17 16:09Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.7599999848$4.00
10-17 13:25Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?BUY0.6699999732$4.00
10-16 15:31Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.4499999944$4.00
10-16 15:24Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?SELL0.76$3.89
10-16 15:20Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?BUY0.7199999712$4.00
10-16 15:16Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.7799999766$4.00
10-16 12:51Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?BUY0.91$4.00
10-16 12:32Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.9489999905$4.00
10-16 12:26Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?SELL0.66$3.88
10-16 12:18Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.6799999932$4.00
10-15 14:27Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?SELL0.0961919505$3.11