PatientGambler
0xe75448d17d5414ee34f626b81e5e54f1227f19f4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $132.0k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $302.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$572.12at 0.475Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$506.71at 0.575Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$478.87at 0.415Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$194.58at 0.564Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$140.40at 0.280Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 07-11 22:57 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1049999818 | $4.70 |
| 07-11 22:57 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 07-11 21:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1849999812 | $6.45 |
| 07-11 21:48 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.056 | $6.85 |
| 07-11 21:45 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999753 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 21:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4324999749 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:44 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 21:43 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999819 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 21:41 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.58 |
| 07-11 21:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.425 | $7.31 |
| 07-11 21:05 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.13 |
| 07-11 21:05 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $10.69 |
| 07-11 21:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2324999564 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 21:03 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.054 | $4.05 |