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Traders

PatientGambler

0xe75448d17d5414ee34f626b81e5e54f1227f19f4

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$132.0k
Markets traded
306
Open portfolio
$302.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded306
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1440.055$239.80$387.22
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1520.185$42.09+$7.59
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.5530.895$13.43+$5.13
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0660.014$2.18$8.16
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.1750.095$1.90$1.60
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3500.165$1.65$1.85
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.004$0.90$2.10
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.0130.002$0.58$4.48
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February? · No0.2330.000$0.00$49.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? · Down0.0550.000$0.00$12.20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26? · Down0.0710.000$0.00$5.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$5.90
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$11.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$6.20
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of April? · No0.2600.000$0.00$8.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 16:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$4.80
07-11 22:57Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1049999818$4.70
07-11 22:57Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$4.90
07-11 21:55Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1849999812$6.45
07-11 21:48Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.056$6.85
07-11 21:45Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999753$3.00
07-11 21:44Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.4324999749$5.00
07-11 21:44Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY0.16$2.00
07-11 21:43Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999819$4.00
07-11 21:41Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$7.58
07-11 21:39Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.425$7.31
07-11 21:05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.13
07-11 21:05Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$10.69
07-11 21:03Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2324999564$4.00
07-11 21:03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.054$4.05
Trader PatientGambler · PolyBot Pro