0x700A11B7Dc633aeDAba01dcbfee837eb9C6e7F13-1744994306904
0xe74dfbb12194ee6bf469927fbfff1dca4fa99707
- Realised P&L
- $-49.04
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.81at 0.405Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$3.77at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$0.41at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$0.25at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-16 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:54 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.3469999254 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.2639999852 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0160835586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |