PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x700A11B7Dc633aeDAba01dcbfee837eb9C6e7F13-1744994306904

0xe74dfbb12194ee6bf469927fbfff1dca4fa99707

Realised P&L
$-49.04
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$5.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.62$4.96
09-16 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-16 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-16 20:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.95$5.00
09-16 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.7099999517$5.00
09-16 20:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-16 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-16 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.92$5.00
09-16 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.41$2.05
09-16 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-16 19:54Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.3469999254$1.00
09-16 19:53Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.2639999852$1.00
09-16 19:53Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.0160835586$1.00
09-16 19:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
09-13 07:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?BUY0.0169999998$1.00