cashx1000
0xe72d3daa2645198efe070637fc68565ecc226424
- Realised P&L
- $-285.34
- Volume
- $256.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.20at 0.855MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$168.16at 0.128Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$134.11at 0.352Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$132.25at 0.559Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$104.62at 0.342Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 00:10 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.077 | $38.50 |
| 10-12 00:09 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.1k |
| 10-12 00:08 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.077 | $77.00 |
| 10-12 00:07 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.9699875934 | $157.15 |
| 10-12 00:07 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.099 | $59.40 |
| 10-12 00:06 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 10-12 00:05 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.099 | $106.15 |
| 10-09 09:44 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $55.00 |
| 10-09 02:56 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.41 |
| 10-08 17:04 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $32.00 |
| 10-08 10:36 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.2012339647 | $52.80 |
| 10-08 08:56 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.205 | $20.50 |
| 10-08 08:55 | Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | SELL | 0.0098952948 | $1.98 |
| 10-08 07:10 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 04:45 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.1929569374 | $23.61 |