PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cashx1000

0xe72d3daa2645198efe070637fc68565ecc226424

Realised P&L
$-285.34
Volume
$256.3k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9180.972$1.1k+$59.72
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.8400.972$330.48+$44.88
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · No0.1700.169$169.00−$1.00
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0990.099$164.72−$0.83
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0770.074$117.36−$3.71
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.9960.999$36.96+$0.11
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No0.7460.000$0.00−$211.60
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$17.53
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$8.80
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$77.00
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$9.32
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 00:10Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.077$38.50
10-12 00:09Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.971$1.1k
10-12 00:08Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.077$77.00
10-12 00:07Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.9699875934$157.15
10-12 00:07Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.099$59.40
10-12 00:06Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.17$170.00
10-12 00:05Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.099$106.15
10-09 09:44Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$55.00
10-09 02:56Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?SELL0.04$4.41
10-08 17:04Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$32.00
10-08 10:36Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?SELL0.2012339647$52.80
10-08 08:56Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.205$20.50
10-08 08:55Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?SELL0.0098952948$1.98
10-08 07:10Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.2$20.00
10-08 04:45Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.1929569374$23.61