norrisfan
0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0
- Realised P&L
- $-185.2k
- Volume
- $47.11M
- Markets traded
- 1,168
- Open portfolio
- $46.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,168
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.7kat 0.333Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$237.8kat 0.130Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$184.3kat 0.330Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$172.8kat 0.390Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$165.2kat 0.318Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:59 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.55 | $835.45 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 07:31 | Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.7211646679 | $8.2k |
| 09-16 07:30 | Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.2344122107 | $23.19 |
| 09-15 15:44 | Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 09-15 09:53 | Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-15 09:53 | Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-15 08:43 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.8k |
| 09-15 08:41 | Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.7 | $187.52 |
| 09-14 14:57 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.59 | $685.58 |
| 09-14 13:14 | Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.68 | $95.27 |
| 09-13 17:59 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-13 17:07 | T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.992 | $396.80 |
| 09-13 17:05 | T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.9899755788 | $12.8k |
| 09-13 16:57 | T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.971 | $20.4k |