norrisfan
0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0
- Realised P&L
- $-406.8k
- Volume
- $49.73M
- Markets traded
- 1,242
- Open portfolio
- $29.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · No | 0.559 | 0.535 | $12.6k | −$556.67 |
| Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · No | 0.720 | 0.775 | $7.8k | +$557.44 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.610 | 0.545 | $6.0k | −$717.92 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.585 | $2.9k | +$75.00 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.445 | $171.92 | +$32.84 |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Draw · Yes | 0.075 | 0.497 | $5.87 | +$4.99 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.530 | 0.986 | $4.93 | +$2.28 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.124 | $0.62 | −$2.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.8kat 0.130Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$184.3kat 0.330Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$172.8kat 0.390Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$165.2kat 0.318Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$151.0kat 0.469United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:29 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.5k |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.0k |
| 11-01 00:25 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.42 | $5.8k |
| 11-01 00:24 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.42 | $9.2k |
| 11-01 00:22 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $932.95 |
| 11-01 00:20 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.43 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 00:04 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 00:03 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $4.7k |
| 11-01 00:00 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 10-31 23:55 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $7.5k |
| 10-31 23:53 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $5.4k |
| 10-31 23:52 | Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $6.0k |
| 10-31 14:45 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $350.61 |
| 10-31 12:44 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $302.40 |
| 10-31 12:38 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.33 | $3.5k |