PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

quirinis

0xe726c75fec4ad011c03d1e5467d369a883e9c243

Realised P&L
$-169.31
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$221.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6300.945$75.00+$25.00
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.7300.905$74.99+$14.50
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.7700.843$27.35+$2.35
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8900.995$22.35+$2.35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.975$22.15+$2.15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7720.000$0.00−$50.00
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$7.00
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? · No0.6250.000$0.00−$86.17
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 01:46France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5999999976$50.00
07-12 01:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.7724999976$50.00
07-07 17:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.071$44.44
07-07 12:07Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?BUY0.7599999976$25.00
07-07 12:03Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?BUY0.7699999732$25.00
07-05 21:57Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
07-05 21:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.72$20.00
07-05 21:53Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.99$135.00
07-05 21:25Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$50.00
07-02 02:10Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2199999949$30.00
06-28 16:48Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.7799999988$25.53
06-14 02:56Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
06-14 02:41Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.79$76.45
06-12 20:37Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6099999765$7.00
06-12 20:36Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?SELL0.11$3.70