quirinis
0xe726c75fec4ad011c03d1e5467d369a883e9c243
- Realised P&L
- $-169.31
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $221.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.945 | $75.00 | +$25.00 |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No | 0.730 | 0.905 | $74.99 | +$14.50 |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.843 | $27.35 | +$2.35 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.995 | $22.35 | +$2.35 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.975 | $22.15 | +$2.15 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? · No | 0.625 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.17 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.26at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$63.43at 0.140US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$43.01at 0.350Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
- +$42.86at 0.700Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$41.31at 0.742Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 01:46 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 01:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7724999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 17:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.071 | $44.44 |
| 07-07 12:07 | Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? | BUY | 0.7599999976 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 12:03 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.7699999732 | $25.00 |
| 07-05 21:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 21:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 21:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.99 | $135.00 |
| 07-05 21:25 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 02:10 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 16:48 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7799999988 | $25.53 |
| 06-14 02:56 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 02:41 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.79 | $76.45 |
| 06-12 20:37 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6099999765 | $7.00 |
| 06-12 20:36 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.70 |