0xe70b8e0b2C2C0819F9c9E66718FF06F0D29DDE12-1771872894369
0xe70b8e0b2c2c0819f9c9e66718ff06f0d29dde12
- Realised P&L
- $-134.37
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $113.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.65at 0.162AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
- +$9.98at 0.018Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?
- +$0.00at 0.003Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 22:31 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $52.93 |
| 06-24 22:27 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-17 02:30 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 03-15 21:32 | Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0129289683 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 19:40 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0382202987 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 19:39 | Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0431036091 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 14:58 | Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0319671378 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 14:27 | Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0189035917 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 02:33 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 01:46 | Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0801116022 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 01:45 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.174630112 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 12:33 | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BUY | 0.0254901969 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 12:03 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.17805355 | $35.61 |
| 03-06 11:19 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.04550794 | $8.00 |
| 03-06 11:14 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.044902475 | $17.96 |