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Traders

0xe6e53d1135e87edd8d404ed52b3e937983cb8e81

Realised P&L
$-117.36
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
391
Open portfolio
$202.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded391
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.6801.000$27.59+$8.83
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2141.000$23.33+$18.33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2450.250$14.42+$0.26
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.5300.997$13.16+$6.16
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.0050.004$10.03$4.96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7310.825$7.73+$0.88
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.945$6.71+$0.96
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1650.125$4.55$1.45
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9170.985$4.32+$0.29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1750.085$3.85$4.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2100.735$3.50+$2.50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6230.675$3.25+$0.25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.3950.210$3.19$2.81
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.3890.606$3.12+$1.12
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? · Yes0.6070.920$3.03+$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 22:45Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.99799901$1.00
08-03 13:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?BUY0.4319999067$1.00
08-03 13:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?BUY0.1869998684$1.00
08-03 13:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?BUY0.2109998555$1.00
08-03 13:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
08-03 13:49Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
08-03 12:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$16.71
08-03 11:14Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.74$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.0033334444$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.02$1.00
Trader 0xe6e5…8e81 · PolyBot